Crossbench
ApprovedConcludedEvent
Title

The 2016 EU referendum: voters choose Leave against most MPs' views

Date
23 June 2016
Relevant topic(s)
Democracy and participationDirect and representative democracyRelations between the branchesThe location of sovereignty in the UK political system

What happened?

On 23 June 2016 the UK voted to leave the European Union. The result went against the view of most MPs, about three-quarters of whom had backed Remain, and so became the clearest case of the people overriding the preference of their representatives.

The Leave campaign was also controversial. Its claim that the UK sent £350 million a week to the EU was criticised by the UK Statistics Authority, and the official Leave campaign was later fined for breaking electoral law.

  • Leave won 17,410,742 votes (51.9%) and Remain 16,141,241 (48.1%), a margin of 1,269,501 votes, on a turnout of 72.2%.
  • About three-quarters of MPs (74%) supported Remain during the campaign. The Constitution Unit puts the figure at around 75%.
  • On 27 May 2016 the chair of the UK Statistics Authority, Sir Andrew Dilnot, said that using the gross figure in a way that implied it was the UK's net contribution was misleading and undermined trust in official statistics.
  • On 17 July 2018 the Electoral Commission fined Vote Leave £61,000 and referred it to the police. It found that Vote Leave had exceeded its £7 million spending limit by almost £500,000, including more than £675,000 spent by BeLeave with AggregateIQ under a common plan with Vote Leave.

Why is it politically significant?

The referendum shows popular sovereignty in action: Parliament, which was mostly pro-Remain, accepted the result. It also raises questions about the quality of referendum campaigns, since voters made a historic decision during a campaign marked by disputed claims and, on the Leave side, unlawful overspending.

How to use

Which arguments does it support?

Referendums can override Parliament's own preference

Reasoning
MPs accepted a result most of them had opposed.
Evidence
About three-quarters of MPs backed Remain, yet the UK voted Leave.
How it supports the argument
Leave won by 51.9% to 48.1%.

Referendum campaigns can mislead voters

Reasoning
Key claims were disputed by official bodies.
Evidence
The UK Statistics Authority called the use of the £350 million figure misleading.
How it supports the argument
The statement was issued four weeks before polling day.

Which counterarguments exist?

Alternative view

Referendums are legally advisory

Parliament remained legally sovereign: it chose to act on the result and passed legislation to trigger withdrawal.

Limits of the evidence

Overspending did not prove the result was changed

The Electoral Commission found breaches of spending rules, but that does not show the outcome would have been different without them.

Concepts and connections

Sources and verification

Event23 June 2016
Added to bank11 November 2026
Last checked11 November 2026
Next check due11 May 2027
  1. 2
    Publisher The Constitution Unit, UCLPublished 24 January 2017Type AcademicChecked 4 November 2026
    Opened
  2. 1
    Publisher House of Commons LibraryPublished 2016Type Research briefingChecked 4 November 2026
    Opened
  3. 4
    Publisher Irish Legal NewsPublished 17 July 2018Type NewsChecked 4 November 2026
    Opened
  4. 3
    Publisher UK Statistics AuthorityPublished 27 May 2016Type OfficialChecked 4 November 2026
    Opened

About this example

Is it still current?

Concluded

The development has ended or been reversed, but remains useful evidence.

Why it is in the bank

Shows the tension between direct and representative democracy, and debates about the quality of referendum campaigns.

  • ✓Relevance to the specification
  • PartlyStrength and reliability of the evidenceThe 74% figure is the editor's; the Constitution Unit source gives 'around 75 per cent'. The Electoral Commission's own report should be added.
  • ✓Importance to a wider political debate
  • ✓Usefulness in evaluative essays
  • ✓Connections to other topics
  • ✓Sufficiently current
  • ✓Adds something new to the bank

Editorial status

Approved

Signed off for students.

Origin: AI draft (Claude) · Reviewer: Editor

Every fact on this page has been checked against original sources.